Economic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The world economy
Main Author: Ianchovichina, Elena (Author)
Other Authors: Ivanic, Maros (Other)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/twec.12400
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/twec.12400/abstract
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520 |a This paper uses a global computable general equilibrium framework with new detail on six Levant countries – the Arab Republic of Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, the Syrian Arab Republic and Turkey – to quantify the direct and indirect economic effects of the Syrian war and the advance of the Islamic State on the Levant. Syria and Iraq bear the brunt of the direct economic costs, while the other Levant countries lose in per capita but not in aggregate terms as the inflows of refugees increase the size of their populations. The war has undermined progress towards deeper regional trade integration, thus adding to varying degrees to the direct costs sustained by the Levant economies and, in the cases of Syria and Iraq, doubling their welfare losses. All Levant countries are foregoing opportunities to expand intra‐Levant trade and the associated gains in economic efficiency. The average welfare effects are not indicative of the distributional effects of war within countries. 
540 |a Nutzungsrecht: © 2016 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 
540 |a © COPYRIGHT 2016 Blackwell Publishers Ltd. 
650 4 |a Industrial efficiency 
650 4 |a Economic aspects 
650 4 |a Analysis 
700 1 |a Ivanic, Maros  |4 oth 
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