Benefit in the wake of disaster: Long-run effects of earthquakes on welfare in rural Indonesia

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of development economics
Main Author: Gignoux, Jérémie (Author)
Other Authors: Menéndez, Marta (Other)
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.08.004
http://search.proquest.com/docview/1761744230
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520 |a We examine the long-term effects on individual economic outcomes of a set of earthquakes -- numerous, large, but mostly not extreme -- that occurred in rural Indonesia since 1985. Using longitudinal individual-level data from large-scale household surveys, together with precise measures of local ground tremors obtained from a US Geological Survey database, we identify the effects of earthquakes, exploiting the quasi-random spatial and temporal nature of their distribution. Affected individuals experience short-term economic losses but recover in the medium run (after 2-5 years), and even exhibit income and welfare gains in the long term (6-12 years). The stocks of productive assets, notably in farms, get reconstituted and public infrastructures are improved, seemingly partly through external aid, allowing productivity to recover. These findings tend to discount the presence of poverty traps and exhibit the potential long-term benefits from well-designed post-disaster interventions in contexts where disasters primarily affect physical assets. [web URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387815000954] 
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650 4 |a Earthquakes 
650 4 |a Seismology 
650 4 |a Analysis 
650 4 |a Studies 
650 4 |a Economic impact 
650 4 |a Welfare 
650 4 |a Rural areas 
700 1 |a Menéndez, Marta  |4 oth 
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